Texas Braces for Potential Tropical Storm and Flooding This Week
WHO:
FOX Weather - The National Hurricane Center (NHC) is monitoring the tropical disturbance designated as Invest 90L.
Space City Weather - Matt and the team are monitoring the evolving weather situation in Houston.
WHAT:
Click2Houston - The National Hurricane Center gives the system a 50% chance of development over the next seven days.
Click2Houston - Rainfall rates could exceed 2 to 4 inches per hour at times, overwhelming drainage systems and leading to flash flooding.
Click2Houston - Most of Southeast Texas is forecast to receive 3 to 7 inches of rainfall through the end of the week, with localized amounts of 10 inches or more possible.
FOX Weather - The system designated as Invest 90L is the first invest of the 2026 Atlantic hurricane season.
Space City Weather - The National Hurricane Center estimates a 30% chance of the low pressure system becoming a tropical depression or storm over the next five days.
Space City Weather - Potential bullseyes of 20 inches or more of total rainfall are anticipated through Friday.
FOX Weather - The odds for tropical development have increased to 50% over the next seven days.
FOX Weather - A Level 3 out of 4 flood threat has been issued for various parts of the Gulf region through Thursday.
FOX Weather - Rain totals of 5 to 8 inches are expected in cities like Houston and Corpus Christi through Tuesday.
Space City Weather - A Stage 2 flood alert is maintained across the greater Houston region.
Space City Weather - Accumulations of 2 to 4 inches of rainfall are expected during the early part of the week, with local bullseyes of 6 or more inches possible.
Space City Weather - The NHC estimates a 30% chance of the low pressure system becoming a tropical depression or storm over the next five days.
Space City Weather - Potential bullseyes of 20 inches or more of total rainfall are anticipated through Friday.
WHERE:
FOX Weather - An Area to Watch has been placed in the northwestern portion of the Gulf of America.
FOX Weather - The Gulf region, including Texas to Georgia, is under alert for heavy rain and flooding.
FOX Weather - Cities such as Houston, Corpus Christi, and Jackson, Mississippi are included in the flood risk.
Space City Weather - The greater Houston region is specifically mentioned as facing flood threats.
WHEN:
Click2Houston - The system is expected to have a narrow window to strengthen enough to become a tropical storm likely late Wednesday into Thursday.
FOX Weather - Flash flooding may be tracked through Friday, with some models indicating the system could move south into next weekend.
FOX Weather - The flood threat is expected to last through Thursday.
FOX Weather - Forecasters may track flash flooding through Friday.
Space City Weather - The heavy rainfall threat is expected to persist through the week, particularly from Wednesday to Friday.
WHY:
Click2Houston - A stalled front draped across the region will act as a focus for repeated showers and thunderstorms, while deep tropical moisture streaming north from the Gulf provides an abundant supply of fuel for heavy rain production.
FOX Weather - The tropical disturbance is expected to bring gusty coastal winds and tropical rain, increasing the risk of flash flooding.
Space City Weather - A weak front moving into the region is providing an impetus for showers and thunderstorms.
HOW:
FOX Weather - The system is moving out of northern Mexico and will combine with deep tropical moisture from the Gulf of America.
Space City Weather - The low pressure system is expected to move northeast and reemerge over the Gulf of Mexico, bringing moisture and creating conditions for heavy rainfall.
(UPDATED June 16, 2026 12:37 UTC)
The National Hurricane Center has assigned a 50% chance of development to a weather system that could strengthen into a tropical storm late Wednesday into Thursday. Southeast Texas is bracing for significant rainfall, with forecasts predicting 3 to 7 inches through the end of the week, and localized areas could see totals of 10 inches or more, potentially overwhelming drainage systems and causing flash flooding. This heavy rain is fueled by a stalled front across the region, which is expected to trigger repeated showers and thunderstorms, combined with deep tropical moisture streaming in from the Gulf.
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(UPDATED June 16, 2026 08:53 UTC)
A new weather system, designated as Invest 90L, has emerged as the first invest of the 2026 Atlantic hurricane season, with the National Hurricane Center estimating a 30% chance of it developing into a tropical depression or storm over the next five days. An Area to Watch has been established in the northwestern portion of the Gulf of America, where potential rainfall totals could reach 20 inches or more through Friday. Flash flooding is a concern in the region, and some models suggest that the system may move south into next weekend.
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(UPDATED June 16, 2026 06:55 UTC)
The National Hurricane Center is currently monitoring a tropical disturbance known as Invest 90L, which has increased the odds for tropical development to 50% over the next seven days. A Level 3 flood threat has been issued for various parts of the Gulf region, including cities like Houston and Corpus Christi, where rain totals of 5 to 8 inches are expected through Tuesday, and local bullseyes could reach 20 inches or more by Friday. The heavy rainfall threat is anticipated to persist through the week, particularly from Wednesday to Friday, as a weak front combines with deep tropical moisture moving out of northern Mexico.