Majority of Polymarket Users Engage in Minimal Trading Activity

WHO:

Techmeme - 11,989 Polymarket users were studied.

Pew Research Center - Conducted the study.

WHAT:

Techmeme - 61% of Polymarket users placed fewer than 100 trades over a six-week period.

Techmeme - 58% of users made or lost less than $100 during the same period.

Pew Research - The typical Polymarket user placed a total of 46 trades across 10 active trading days during the study period.

WHERE:

Techmeme - The study pertains to users of Polymarket, an online prediction market platform.

WHEN:

Techmeme - The study analyzed user activity over a six-week period.

WHY:

Techmeme - Prediction markets are becoming an increasingly popular way for people to trade on the outcomes of real-world events.

HOW:

Techmeme - The study involved analyzing trading activity on the Polymarket platform.

(UPDATED July 23, 2026 04:06 UTC)

A recent study conducted by the Pew Research Center analyzed the trading activity of 11,989 users on the online prediction market platform Polymarket over a six-week period. The findings revealed that 61% of users placed fewer than 100 trades, with the typical user making a total of 46 trades across 10 active trading days, and 58% of users either made or lost less than $100 during that time. As prediction markets continue to grow in popularity, this study sheds light on the trading behaviors of those participating in this emerging market.