Trump's Support Among Key Voter Groups Dwindles Rapidly

WHO:

Alternet - Rep. Mariá Elvira Salazar, a Florida Republican, has represented Florida's 27th District since 2021.

Vox - Donald Trump, referred to as Trump in the article, is the former president.

WHAT:

Vox - Trump's approval rating among Latinos who voted for him recently fell from 93 percent.

CNN - A recent poll from the Texas Politics Project/University of Texas shows Latino voters in Texas viewing Trump unfavorably at 51% compared to 41% favorably, a shift from an even split of 48% each in October 2024.

CBS News Politics - Salazar stated that 70% of Americans wanted to see some type of immigration reform.

Alternet - Political experts at Pod Save America predict an "even bigger blue wave than 2018" in the upcoming midterm elections, citing a new poll from the New York Times and Siena College that gives Democrats a 9-point generic ballot lead over Republicans among likely voters.

CNN - Rep. Maria Elvira Salazar stated that President Trump was “very receptive” to her warning that Hispanic voters feel “betrayed” by his immigration agenda.

CNN - Salazar emphasized to Trump that he has a moment in history to maintain Republican power in Washington to stave off the “very big threat” of socialism.

CNN - Salazar highlighted that 50% of the people detained by US Immigration and Customs Enforcement in July “had no criminal record.”

Alternet - Trump’s strong approval among Republicans is down 20 points from where it was on Election Day 2018, and his strong approval among all voters is cut in half from where it was in 2018.

Alternet - In a recent poll, Trump's approval rating among independents is at 27%.

CBS News Politics - Rep. Maria Elvira Salazar warned in a campaign ad that President Trump's immigration enforcement policy has "gone too far."

Vox - Trump's approval rating among Latinos who voted for him recently fell from 93 percent.

Alternet - Rep. Mariá Elvira Salazar stated in her ad that some of Trump's mass deportation efforts have "gone too far."

CNN - The GOP candidate for state railroad commissioner posted a photo of brown-skinned students at a University of Texas football game, stating that the replacement of Americans by foreigners is “everywhere and far worse than any of us could imagine,” which was deemed racist by many Republicans.

CNN - Karl Rove declared in an opinion piece that he will vote for only the second Democrat in his life due to the GOP candidate's comments.

CNN - Abbott's campaign reported nearly $70 million in cash on hand earlier this summer.

Alternet - Trump carried Rep. Salazar's district by around 15 points in 2024, amid a major shift towards Republicans made by Latino voters that year.

CNN - Democrats are fielding candidates for every state legislature seat in Texas for the first time since at least 1972.

Alternet - Salazar released a midterm ad breaking with Trump on immigration, stating that some of his mass deportation efforts have "gone too far."

Vox - Trump won 48 percent of Latino voters in 2024, an increase from 36 percent in 2020 and 28 percent in 2016.

Vox - Trump's approval rating among Latinos who voted for him recently fell from 93 percent.

WHERE:

Alternet - Salazar's district is nearly 74 percent Latin American.

Vox - The article discusses trends among Latino voters across the United States, including Florida and Texas.

WHY:

CNN - Hinojosa's campaign argues that if she and Talarico win the same percentage of the Latino vote that Beto O’Rourke did in 2018, it would be enough to win, given population growth and shifts.

Alternet - Conservative commentator Charlie Sykes stated that Trump has "aggressively squandered" the strengths that helped him get reelected.

Alternet - Sykes noted that the shift away from Trump among Latino voters indicates a feeling of betrayal.

HOW:

CNN - Talarico is redirecting $600,000 of his national fundraising into local campaigns.

Alternet - Salazar's ad represents a significant break from Trump, which would have seemed unthinkable previously given Trump's influence over the GOP.

Alternet - Sykes mentioned that Republican candidates are either abandoning Trump or tuning him out, as evidenced by their reactions to his proposals.

(UPDATED September 20, 2026 21:56 UTC)

Trump's approval rating among Latino voters who supported him has dropped significantly, falling from 93 percent to a current unfavorable view of 51 percent in Texas, according to a recent poll from the Texas Politics Project and the University of Texas. Meanwhile, political experts at Pod Save America are predicting an even bigger blue wave than in 2018 for the upcoming midterm elections, as a new poll shows Democrats leading Republicans by nine points among likely voters. In response to these shifts, Talarico is redirecting $600,000 of his national fundraising into local campaigns to bolster support.

(UPDATED September 20, 2026 20:55 UTC)

Rep. Maria Elvira Salazar reported that President Trump was “very receptive” to her concerns about Hispanic voters feeling “betrayed” by his immigration policies, emphasizing that he has a crucial opportunity to maintain Republican power and counter the “very big threat” of socialism. She also pointed out that in July, half of those detained by US Immigration and Customs Enforcement had no criminal record. Meanwhile, political experts at Pod Save America are forecasting an "even bigger blue wave than 2018" in the upcoming midterm elections, with a new poll showing Democrats holding a 9-point lead over Republicans among likely voters.

(UPDATED September 20, 2026 18:54 UTC)

Rep. Maria Elvira Salazar has issued a warning in a campaign ad, stating that President Trump's immigration enforcement policy has "gone too far." Meanwhile, Trump's approval rating among Latinos who voted for him has seen a significant drop from 93 percent. Political experts at Pod Save America are forecasting an "even bigger blue wave than 2018" in the upcoming midterm elections, backed by a new poll from the New York Times and Siena College showing Democrats with a 9-point lead over Republicans among likely voters.

(UPDATED September 20, 2026 15:56 UTC)

Rep. Mariá Elvira Salazar has expressed concern in her ad that some of Trump's mass deportation efforts have "gone too far." A recent poll from the Texas Politics Project at the University of Texas shows that Latino voters in Texas now view Trump unfavorably at 51%, a notable shift from an even split of 48% each in October 2024. Meanwhile, GOP candidate for state railroad commissioner has faced backlash for posting a photo of brown-skinned students at a University of Texas football game, which he used to claim that the replacement of Americans by foreigners is “everywhere and far worse than any of us could imagine,” prompting Karl Rove to announce he will vote for only the second Democrat in his life due to these comments.

(UPDATED September 20, 2026 09:55 UTC)

Trump won Rep. Salazar's district by about 15 points in 2024, reflecting a significant shift toward Republicans among Latino voters that year. However, a recent poll indicates that Latino voters in Texas now view Trump unfavorably at 51%, a notable change from an even split just two years prior. In response to these dynamics, Democrats are fielding candidates for every state legislature seat in Texas for the first time since at least 1972, with Talarico redirecting $600,000 of his national fundraising to support local campaigns.

(UPDATED September 19, 2026 22:56 UTC)

Rep. Mariá Elvira Salazar, a Florida Republican representing Florida's 27th District since 2021, has released a midterm ad that breaks with Trump on immigration, claiming that some of his mass deportation efforts have "gone too far." This shift comes as Trump's approval rating among Latino voters who previously supported him has recently dropped from 93 percent, despite him winning 48 percent of Latino voters in 2024, an increase from previous elections. Conservative commentator Charlie Sykes highlighted that this trend among Latino voters reflects a sense of betrayal and noted that many Republican candidates are distancing themselves from Trump, which marks a significant change in the party's dynamics.