CFTC Alerts on High-risk 'Mention' Contracts in Prediction Markets

WHO:

Cointelegraph - The Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) issued a warning regarding prediction market contracts.

Bloomberg Markets - CFTC staff provided guidance on prediction markets.

WHAT:

Cointelegraph - The CFTC fined a former White House teleprompter operator for making over $107,000 trading prediction contracts tied to President Trump’s speeches.

Bloomberg Markets - The CFTC warned that prediction market wagers involving bets on what high-profile people might say present heightened manipulation risk.

WHERE:

Cointelegraph - The warning pertains to prediction markets in the United States.

WHY:

Bloomberg Markets - The CFTC's guidance indicates that such bets can only be offered in limited circumstances due to the risk of manipulation.

HOW:

Bloomberg Markets - The CFTC staff's guidance outlines the conditions under which prediction market wagers can be offered.

(UPDATED September 23, 2026 02:06 UTC)

The Commodity Futures Trading Commission, or CFTC, has issued a warning about prediction market contracts, highlighting the risks of manipulation associated with bets on what high-profile individuals, including President Trump, might say. In a related action, the CFTC fined a former White House teleprompter operator over $107,000 for trading prediction contracts linked to Trump's speeches. The CFTC's guidance specifies that such wagers can only be offered under limited circumstances to mitigate these risks.